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AGF Aarhus v Silkeborg IF

2026-09-05 16:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prediction 62.93%1.59fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -11.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.14%62.93%62.93%64.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.47%69.69%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Silkeborg IF (Visit)

Prediction 16.78%5.96fair odd
EV +0.703%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.141%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.79%16.78%16.78%18.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.445.406.0021.28%18.37%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.28%4.93fair odd
EV -0.614%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.157%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%20.28%20.28%20.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.524.504.9024.39%22.15%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AGF Aarhus (Local): 62.93%; Silkeborg IF (Visit): 16.78%; Draw: 20.28%. For Silkeborg IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.703%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.26%EV -5.60%E -3.73%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV +0.703%E +0.117%K +0.141%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.614%E -0.125%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.26%EV -5.60%E -3.73%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV +0.703%E +0.117%K +0.141%G +0.001%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.614%E -0.125%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 16:04
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -6.86%E -4.63%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.79%EV +0.199%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:04
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.75%E -6.03%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.49%E -0.608%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.75%E -6.03%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.49%E -0.608%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.75%E -6.03%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.49%E -0.608%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:34
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.75%E -6.03%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -3.49%E -0.608%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.69%EV -9.38%E -6.51%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -6.01%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:35
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -6.86%E -4.63%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -9.37%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:10
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.03%EV -9.38%E -6.51%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -9.37%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:34
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.19%EV -10.01%E -7.00%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -9.37%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.06%EV -10.63%E -7.49%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -9.37%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -10.01%E -7.00%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -11.05%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.89%EV -11.26%E -7.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -11.05%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.89%EV -11.26%E -7.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -11.05%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.89%EV -11.26%E -7.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -11.05%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -11.26%E -7.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -14.40%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 16:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.46%EV -11.89%E -8.50%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.56%EV -17.76%E -3.62%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.99%EV -16.84%E -4.11%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-29 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.78%EV -10.63%E -7.49%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -19.44%E -4.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -10.76%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.14%EV -11.26%E -7.99%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -21.12%E -4.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-29 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.