The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

AGF Aarhus v Lyngby

2026-11-20 18:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.97%53.36%53.36%54.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.731.751.7864.10%57.96%57.31%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lyngby (Visit)

Prediction 22.85%4.38fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%22.79%22.96%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.974.004.3027.78%25.21%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.81%4.20fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -0.943%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%23.85%23.68%24.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.783.804.0428.99%26.43%26.32%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AGF Aarhus (Local): 53.34%; Lyngby (Visit): 22.85%; Draw: 23.81%. For Lyngby (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -1.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -1.73%E -0.403%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 12:29
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 12:48
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.48%EV -9.05%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.72%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 12:50
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.06%EV -6.12%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.88%E -0.677%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.55%EV -3.81%E -0.943%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.66%E -3.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.02%E -0.957%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -6.66%E -3.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 12:58
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.66%E -3.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-09 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.66%E -3.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-09 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.66%E -3.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-09 12:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.66%E -3.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.71%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 14:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.52%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-09 12:24
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.73%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 12:24
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-09 13:10
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-09 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-09 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-09 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -11.46%E -6.90%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -15.45%E -4.17%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -10.71%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-09 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -12.53%E -7.64%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -17.73%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.59%EV -13.10%E -3.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%16.2%2026-11-09 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.92%EV -13.06%E -8.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.12%EV -14.76%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-09 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 53.04%EV -16.79%E -10.76%K -29.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.98%EV -17.73%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.98%EV -17.86%E -5.18%K -7.29%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-09 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.