The School of Odds

AGF Aarhus v Brondby IF

2026-07-25 16:00 — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: AGF Aarhus (Local)

Odds
2.3043.48%Min
2.5439.41%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.6537.74%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.04%2.854Min
37.55%2.663Max
35.52%2.815Mean
35.52%2.815Median
35.55%2.813IQM
35.54%2.814Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.65 under the IQM model: 35.55%

EV -5.80%Edge -2.19%Kelly -3.52%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Brondby IF (Visit)

Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.4141.47%Mean
2.4540.82%Median
2.5040.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
36.28%2.756Min
38.39%2.605Max
37.51%2.666Mean
37.48%2.668Median
37.57%2.662IQM
37.53%2.664Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 37.57%

EV -6.08%Edge -2.43%Kelly -4.06%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1531.75%Min
3.3729.64%Mean
3.3829.63%Median
3.6027.78%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.84%3.871Min
28.24%3.540Max
26.97%3.708Mean
27.00%3.703Median
26.89%3.719IQM
26.92%3.714Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 26.89%

EV -3.21%Edge -0.891%Kelly -1.23%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAGF Aarhus (Local) ▼Brondby IF (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74% NM 35.49%EV -5.80% E -2.19% K -3.52% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.39%EV -7.96% E -3.25% K -5.49% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.12%EV -3.21% E -0.891% K -1.23% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 16:40
1xBet2.62I 38.17% NM 35.59%EV -6.87% E -2.62% K -4.24% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.30%EV -6.08% E -2.43% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.44I 29.07% NM 27.11%EV -7.51% E -2.18% K -3.08% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 16:54
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17% NM 35.59%EV -6.87% E -2.62% K -4.24% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.30%EV -6.08% E -2.43% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.44I 29.07% NM 27.11%EV -7.51% E -2.18% K -3.08% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 16:50
888sport2.62I 38.17% NM 35.04%EV -6.87% E -2.62% K -4.24% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.72%EV -6.08% E -2.43% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.24%EV -12.62% E -3.88% K -5.61% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17% NM 35.04%EV -6.87% E -2.62% K -4.24% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.72%EV -6.08% E -2.43% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.24%EV -12.62% E -3.88% K -5.61% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 17:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17% NM 35.04%EV -6.87% E -2.62% K -4.24% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.72%EV -6.08% E -2.43% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.24%EV -12.62% E -3.88% K -5.61% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 17:00
William Hill2.62I 38.17% NM 35.04%EV -6.87% E -2.62% K -4.24% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.72%EV -6.08% E -2.43% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.24%EV -12.62% E -3.88% K -5.61% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 17:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46% NM 35.93%EV -7.58% E -2.91% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.13%EV -7.96% E -3.25% K -5.49% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.95%EV -3.21% E -0.891% K -1.23% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 16:40
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.66%EV -7.58% E -2.91% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.85%EV -7.96% E -3.25% K -5.49% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.49%EV -5.90% E -1.68% K -2.36% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-03 21:29
Fanatics2.60I 38.46% NM 35.39%EV -7.58% E -2.91% K -4.74% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.55%EV -7.96% E -3.25% K -5.49% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.06%EV -8.59% E -2.53% K -3.58% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 17:10
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22% NM 36.11%EV -9.36% E -3.67% K -6.04% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.58%EV -7.96% E -3.25% K -5.49% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -5.90% E -1.68% K -2.36% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 09:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22% NM 35.83%EV -9.36% E -3.67% K -6.04% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.07%EV -9.84% E -4.10% K -7.03% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.10%EV -5.90% E -1.68% K -2.36% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 16:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00% NM 36.17%EV -11.13% E -4.45% K -7.42% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 37.99%EV -10.59% E -4.45% K -7.68% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.84%EV -5.90% E -1.68% K -2.36% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 16:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82% NM 35.47%EV -12.91% E -5.27% K -8.90% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 37.79%EV -13.60% E -5.91% K -10.46% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.74%EV -12.62% E -3.88% K -5.61% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32% NM 35.01%EV -13.98% E -5.78% K -9.84% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 38.51%EV -17.35% E -7.89% K -14.46% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.48%EV -13.96% E -4.36% K -6.35% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-03 21:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67% NM 36.23%EV -14.69% E -6.12% K -10.49% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 37.81%EV -13.60% E -5.91% K -10.46% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.96%EV -9.93% E -2.96% K -4.23% G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-03 21:25
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67% NM 35.05%EV -14.69% E -6.12% K -10.49% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 38.24%EV -17.35% E -7.89% K -14.46% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 26.71%EV -15.31% E -4.86% K -7.12% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-03 21:25
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55% NM 35.68%EV -16.46% E -7.01% K -12.20% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 38.11%EV -17.35% E -7.89% K -14.46% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.20%EV -13.96% E -4.36% K -6.35% G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-03 21:25
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48% NM 37.55%EV -18.24% E -7.93% K -14.03% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 36.28%EV -10.59% E -4.45% K -7.68% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.17%EV -11.27% E -3.42% K -4.90% G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-03 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerAGF Aarhus (Local)Brondby IF (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%2.28I 43.86%3.15I 31.75%16.9%2026-07-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%1.09I 91.74%1.02I 98.04%181.5%2026-07-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%1.09I 91.74%1.02I 98.04%181.5%2026-07-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-01 07:19