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AC Horsens v Brondby IF

2026-08-09 16:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Horsens (Local)

Prediction 19.84%5.04fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.511%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.23%19.88%19.82%21.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.594.654.9425.00%21.80%21.51%20.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brondby IF (Visit)

Prediction 56.01%1.79fair odd
EV -5.90%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -8.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.40%55.89%56.02%56.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.641.651.6864.94%60.88%60.42%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV -5.32%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%24.23%24.15%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.753.9228.57%26.61%26.63%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AC Horsens (Local): 19.84%; Brondby IF (Visit): 56.01%; Draw: 24.15%. For AC Horsens (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.94, with an expected value of -2.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle4.94I 20.24%NM 19.23%EV -2.01%E -0.408%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.54%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.23%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:50
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -3.80%E -0.783%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.01%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:45
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.16%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:50
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:55
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -4.79%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 16:25
1xBet4.79I 20.88%NM 19.56%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.10%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.01%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 15:05
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.05%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 15:45
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.05%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 15:45
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.05%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 15:45
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.05%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 15:44
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -8.70%E -5.34%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 16:31
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.14%E -4.96%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:50
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 16:44
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:04
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -5.80%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:50
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.43%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 14:50
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.76%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.02%E -4.23%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 16:10
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.22%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.74%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.26%E -5.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.43%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 14:55
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 15:45
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -14.71%E -3.42%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.81%EV -12.06%E -7.68%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.81%EV -11.12%E -3.02%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -16.69%E -3.97%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.40%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -15.47%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-02 14:54
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 20.56%EV -17.68%E -4.26%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.41%EV -13.74%E -8.92%K -25.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.03%EV -14.26%E -4.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-02 14:50
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -18.68%E -4.55%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.35%EV -11.50%E -7.28%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -9.43%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 14:49
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -20.66%E -5.16%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.20%EV -12.62%E -8.09%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.27%EV -10.63%E -2.87%K -3.94%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.21%13.2%2026-08-02 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.01%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.13%2.86I 34.97%NM 28.86%21.2%2026-08-02 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.01%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.13%2.86I 34.97%NM 28.86%21.2%2026-08-02 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.01%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.13%2.86I 34.97%NM 28.86%21.2%2026-08-02 19:15