La scuola delle quote

Vasco da Gama v Barracas Central

Inizio: 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Finale: Vasco da Gama 3–0 Barracas Central

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Casa)

Previsione 69.58%1.44quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -4.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.86%69.47%69.58%71.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.351.4176.92%74.39%73.80%70.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barracas Central (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.30%8.85quota equa
EV -0.661%
Vantaggio -0.075%
Kelly -0.085%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.63%11.36%11.30%13.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.958.008.7915.38%12.58%12.50%11.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.12%5.23quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.224%
Kelly -0.278%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.07%19.17%19.12%20.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.694.705.1722.73%21.31%21.28%19.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.07%EV -1.89%E -1.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -3.94%E -0.463%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -4.41%E -0.882%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 21:49
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.28%E -2.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.06I 12.41%NM 11.79%EV -8.91%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.87%EV -8.62%E -1.80%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 21:50
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.02%EV -3.98%E -2.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV -6.76%E -0.820%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -6.32%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 02:49
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -3.98%E -2.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -18.07%E -2.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.15%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 21:49
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.94%E -0.463%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -8.23%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.94%E -0.463%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -8.23%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.94%E -0.463%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -8.23%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.94%E -0.463%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -8.23%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 21:49
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.24%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.97%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.24%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.97%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:49
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.24%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.97%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -15.24%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.97%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -5.37%E -3.95%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -26.54%E -4.08%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.88%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-27 21:50
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -6.07%E -4.49%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.72%EV -10.72%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -10.15%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 21:29
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -6.76%E -5.05%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -3.94%E -0.463%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.41%E -0.882%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 21:30
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -7.46%E -5.61%K -22.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.59%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.97%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:39
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -9.59%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -10.15%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 21:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -9.59%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -10.15%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -9.59%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -10.15%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -9.59%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -10.15%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 21:49
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -9.59%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -10.15%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 21:49
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.15%E -6.18%K -25.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -20.89%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -15.88%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-27 21:40
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 71.31%EV -8.85%E -6.76%K -28.55%G +0.000%8.79I 11.38%NM 10.63%EV -0.661%E -0.075%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.07%EV -1.16%E -0.224%K -0.278%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 21:40
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.55%E -7.34%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -3.94%E -0.463%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -9.19%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:39
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.55%E -7.34%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -9.59%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.97%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-27 21:49
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -9.55%E -7.34%K -31.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -15.24%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -13.97%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.36%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-05-27 21:50
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.97%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.4%2026-05-27 21:50