Language:English
Universidad de Chile v Palestino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad de Chile (Local)
Prediction 56.56%1.77fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -5.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.46%56.36%56.56%60.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.7066.67%62.60%62.50%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Palestino (Visit)
Prediction 17.81%5.61fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +0.745%
Kelly +0.899%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 5.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.81%17.82%17.81%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.395.395.8620.83%18.56%18.55%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.63%3.90fair odd
EV -0.038%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.56%25.82%25.63%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.703.9029.41%27.16%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad de Chile (Local): 56.56%; Palestino (Visit): 17.81%; Draw: 25.63%. For Palestino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.61. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.03%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.55%EV +4.37%E +0.745%K +0.899%G +0.039% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.42%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -13.47%E -8.80%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.30%E +0.569%K +0.687%G +0.023% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -13.47%E -8.80%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.30%E +0.569%K +0.687%G +0.023% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -13.47%E -8.80%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.30%E +0.569%K +0.687%G +0.023% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -13.47%E -8.80%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.30%E +0.569%K +0.687%G +0.023% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -13.47%E -8.80%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +3.30%E +0.569%K +0.687%G +0.023% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.46%EV -14.03%E -9.23%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV +2.41%E +0.419%K +0.507%G +0.012% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -15.16%E -10.11%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV +2.41%E +0.419%K +0.507%G +0.012% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -15.16%E -10.11%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV +2.41%E +0.419%K +0.507%G +0.012% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -15.16%E -10.11%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV +2.41%E +0.419%K +0.507%G +0.012% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -1.32%E -0.343%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -4.98%E -2.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.04%E -0.372%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -2.60%E -0.685%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.43%EV -4.98%E -2.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.59%EV -4.00%E -0.743%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.50%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -7.39%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.94%E -5.55%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.51%E -5.94%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.51%E -5.94%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.95%E -2.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -11.84%E -2.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -11.57%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -11.20%E -7.14%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -14.51%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.36% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.4% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.48% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |