La scuola delle quoteItaliano
San Lorenzo v Santos
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
San Lorenzo (Casa)
Previsione 40.18%2.49quota equa
EV -5.59%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -4.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.69%40.25%40.15%41.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.272.282.3546.51%44.14%43.86%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Santos (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.41%3.65quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.367%
Kelly -0.508%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.41%27.54%27.48%28.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.34%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 32.41%3.09quota equa
EV +2.10%
Vantaggio +0.668%
Kelly +0.979%
Crescita +0.021%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.57%32.21%32.37%32.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.932.903.1536.36%34.18%34.48%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV +2.10%E +0.668%K +0.979%G +0.021% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 07:20 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.40%E -3.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV +0.483%E +0.156%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.40%E -3.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV +0.483%E +0.156%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.40%E -3.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV +0.483%E +0.156%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -8.40%E -3.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV +0.483%E +0.156%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -2.76%E -0.919%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 13:27 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -1.32%E -0.367%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 23:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 13:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 22:02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.40%EV -6.79%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.43%EV -6.32%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 02:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.34%EV -7.19%E -3.11%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.25%EV -6.32%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -6.79%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 08:15 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -6.97%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 18:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.62%E -6.34%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -16.40%E -5.38%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -13.62%E -6.34%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 13:24 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.19% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.86% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 30.94% | 16.3% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 26.73% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 48.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 24.73% | 89.0% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 26.73% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 48.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 24.73% | 89.0% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |