La scuola delle quote

San Lorenzo v C.D. Cuenca

Inizio: 2026-04-17 00:30 UTC

Finale: San Lorenzo 2–0 C.D. Cuenca

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

21 bookmaker (3 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Lorenzo (Casa)

Previsione 60.35%1.66quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.621%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.05%60.35%61.20%62.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.531.531.6469.93%65.16%65.36%60.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

C.D. Cuenca (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.31%8.12quota equa
EV +4.42%
Vantaggio +0.521%
Kelly +0.591%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.04%12.31%12.25%13.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.467.508.4815.38%13.40%13.33%11.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.33%3.66quota equa
EV +0.581%
Vantaggio +0.158%
Kelly +0.217%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.78%27.33%26.55%29.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.193.393.353.6831.35%29.49%29.85%27.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%8.48I 11.79%NM 11.04%EV +4.42%E +0.521%K +0.591%G +0.026%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -12.81%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:24
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.66%EV -2.83%E -1.76%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.21%EV -1.49%E -0.186%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV -1.61%E -0.446%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 00:19
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -1.49%E -0.186%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:20
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -1.49%E -0.186%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -1.49%E -0.186%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -1.49%E -0.186%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 00:19
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -1.02%E -0.621%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.20%EV -3.95%E -0.507%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 14:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.01%EV -7.66%E -5.01%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.21%EV -4.32%E -0.556%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.78%EV +0.581%E +0.158%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.4%2026-04-17 00:20
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -7.65%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 00:24
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.65%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.65%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 23:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.65%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 23:40
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.65%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 23:40
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -2.23%E -1.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -13.80%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 00:23
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -13.80%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 00:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -13.80%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 00:19
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.92%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -13.80%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 00:24
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.67%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -13.80%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 00:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -15.03%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.84%EV -13.69%E -9.58%K -31.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.79%EV -16.27%E -2.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 00:24
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.34%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -19.96%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 00:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.05%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-17 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.05%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-17 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.05%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-17 00:25
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.01%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-17 00:24
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-04-17 00:24