语言:简体中文
River Plate v Bragantino-SP
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
River Plate (主队)
预测 35.94%2.78公平赔率
EV -3.67%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.68
博彩公司预测分布
35.15%35.85%35.94%40.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.522.502.6843.48%39.62%40.00%37.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bragantino-SP (客队)
预测 32.37%3.09公平赔率
EV +6.82%
优势 +2.07%
Kelly +2.96%
增长率 +0.202%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.44%32.32%32.37%33.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.902.903.3037.04%34.49%34.48%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.69%3.16公平赔率
EV -1.77%
优势 -0.572%
Kelly -0.844%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.39%31.83%31.69%32.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.34%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：River Plate (主队)：35.94%；Bragantino-SP (客队)：32.37%；平局：31.69%。 对于“Bragantino-SP (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.09。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.30，对应+6.82%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -17.33%E -7.53%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV +6.82%E +2.07%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.36%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -1.27%E -0.418%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -1.60%E -0.526%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -7.79%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -6.54%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -8.34%E -3.27%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -8.34%E -3.27%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -8.34%E -3.27%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -8.34%E -3.27%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -3.67%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.65%EV -5.48%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.94%E -4.87%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.86%E -4.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -10.86%E -4.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -10.86%E -4.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -10.86%E -4.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -10.86%E -4.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.82%E -2.22%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -8.72%E -3.09%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.48%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.99%E -3.99%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.14%E -4.06%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -9.06%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.73%E -5.72%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.69%E -3.40%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |