L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Recoleta FC v San Lorenzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Recoleta FC (Local)
Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV +4.20%
Avantage +0.858%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.95%21.26%21.43%22.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.354.354.9025.32%23.01%22.99%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
San Lorenzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.03%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.88%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -5.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.30%49.01%48.94%51.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.861.851.9455.87%53.73%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.70%3.37cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.718%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.64%29.73%29.63%30.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.153.4534.48%31.73%31.75%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%EV +4.20%E +0.858%K +1.08%G +0.045% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.72%EV -7.33%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV +2.48%E +0.718%K +1.01%G +0.025% | 2.3% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.97%EV +3.35%E +0.690%K +0.869%G +0.029% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.49%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 21:59 |
| Casumo | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39%EV +2.08%E +0.433%K +0.547%G +0.011% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.24%EV -6.35%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.37%EV +2.48%E +0.718%K +1.01%G +0.025% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -2.18%E -0.473%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -9.78%E -5.32%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -0.493%E -0.147%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.18%E -0.473%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.31%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.30%E -0.956%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.35%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.956%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.46%EV -5.79%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.01%EV -4.88%E -2.52%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.53%EV -4.35%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -1.98%E -0.599%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -1.98%E -0.599%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -11.25%E -6.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -3.46%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -11.25%E -6.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -3.46%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.49%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -12.24%E -6.84%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -7.49%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.75%E -6.53%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -7.92%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.80%EV -6.35%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -7.92%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -8.80%E -4.73%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.31%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%EV -11.75%E -2.83%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 21:59 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.75%E -6.53%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -3.46%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -16.00%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.02%EV -11.25%E -6.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-08 21:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.6% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 22:00 |