The School of Odds
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Racing Club v Club Independiente Petrolero

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Final: Racing Club 2–0 Club Independiente Petrolero

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 79.89%1.25fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -20.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.10%79.56%79.91%82.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.161.2090.09%86.60%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Club Independiente Petrolero (Visit)

Prediction 6.87%14.57fair odd
EV +23.57%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.327%

assuming max odds 18.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.34%7.14%6.74%9.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0014.5714.0018.0010.00%6.87%7.14%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.25%7.55fair odd
EV +5.99%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +0.855%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.15%13.31%13.36%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.207.037.008.0016.13%14.23%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Racing Club (Local): 79.89%; Club Independiente Petrolero (Visit): 6.87%; Draw: 13.25%. For Club Independiente Petrolero (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.57. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.86%K -31.85%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.40%EV +23.57%E +1.31%K +1.39%G +0.327%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV +5.99%E +0.748%K +0.855%G +0.051%2.8%2026-05-27 21:49
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -8.13%E -7.07%K -54.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -0.638%E -0.085%K -0.098%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -8.13%E -7.07%K -54.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -0.638%E -0.085%K -0.098%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -8.13%E -7.07%K -54.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -0.638%E -0.085%K -0.098%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -8.13%E -7.07%K -54.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -0.638%E -0.085%K -0.098%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -11.33%E -10.20%K -102.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.26%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-27 21:10
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -11.33%E -10.20%K -102.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.26%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-27 21:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -11.33%E -10.20%K -102.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.26%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-27 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -11.33%E -10.20%K -102.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.26%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-27 21:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -11.33%E -10.20%K -102.96%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +16.71%E +0.983%K +1.04%G +0.174%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.26%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-27 21:09
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.15%EV -6.53%E -5.58%K -38.43%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -0.455%E -0.031%K -0.034%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.47%EV -15.21%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.71%EV -7.33%E -6.32%K -45.82%G +0.000%14.13I 7.08%NM 6.63%EV -3.00%E -0.212%K -0.228%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.67%EV -2.10%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -6.53%E -5.58%K -38.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -3.89%E -0.278%K -0.299%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -0.638%E -0.085%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.53%E -5.58%K -38.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -3.89%E -0.278%K -0.299%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -7.26%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 21:49
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -7.33%E -6.32%K -45.82%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -3.89%E -0.278%K -0.299%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -3.95%E -0.545%K -0.632%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 21:47
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -10.53%E -9.40%K -87.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -3.89%E -0.278%K -0.299%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -0.638%E -0.085%K -0.098%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 21:49
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.73%E -4.86%K -31.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.75%E -0.827%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 21:50
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.73%E -4.86%K -31.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.75%E -0.827%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.73%E -4.86%K -31.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.75%E -0.827%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.73%E -4.86%K -31.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -10.75%E -0.827%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.53%E -5.58%K -38.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -10.75%E -0.827%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 21:50
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.18%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.68%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -21.05%E -1.83%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.55%EV +0.290%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.87%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -24.48%E -2.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.64%EV -9.25%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.82%EV -9.73%E -8.61%K -74.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -24.48%E -2.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.18%EV -17.86%E -2.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-27 21:50
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.53%E -5.58%K -38.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -31.35%E -3.13%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-27 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.07%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63%2.4%2026-05-27 21:50