语言:简体中文
Puerto Cabello v Monagas SC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Puerto Cabello (主队)
预测 47.82%2.09公平赔率
EV -3.41%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -3.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
45.72%48.10%47.68%50.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.861.941.932.0253.76%51.53%51.81%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Monagas SC (客队)
预测 23.33%4.29公平赔率
EV -0.361%
优势 -0.085%
Kelly -0.110%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.27
博彩公司预测分布
21.52%23.12%23.51%24.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.933.904.2727.03%25.46%25.64%23.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.85%3.47公平赔率
EV -3.36%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.43%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
27.89%28.78%28.81%30.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.143.103.3533.33%31.87%32.26%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Puerto Cabello (主队)：47.82%；Monagas SC (客队)：23.33%；平局：28.85%。 对于“Monagas SC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.29。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.27，期望值为-0.361%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV -1.29%E -0.306%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -13.66%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.66%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.20%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.70%EV -3.39%E -0.820%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.10%EV -6.82%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.66%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.57%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.57%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.57%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.57%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.57%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.57%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.57%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-03 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.99%E -0.475%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.58%E -5.66%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -1.99%E -0.475%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -11.06%E -5.94%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -0.361%E -0.085%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |