La scuola delle quote

Puerto Cabello v Clube Atlético Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-04-09 02:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Puerto Cabello (Casa)

Previsione 21.57%4.64quota equa
EV +14.34%
Vantaggio +2.71%
Kelly +3.33%
Crescita +0.478%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.17%21.41%21.71%23.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.504.515.3025.64%22.23%22.17%18.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clube Atlético Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.22%2.12quota equa
EV -5.57%
Vantaggio -2.78%
Kelly -5.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.80%47.43%47.12%52.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.901.912.0055.87%52.54%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.21%3.20quota equa
EV +4.55%
Vantaggio +1.36%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescita +0.088%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.76%31.16%31.17%32.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.033.053.3535.71%32.96%32.79%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +14.34%E +2.71%K +3.33%G +0.478%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.87%EV -13.59%E -7.43%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV +4.55%E +1.36%K +1.94%G +0.088%3.4%2026-04-09 01:49
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV +12.18%E +2.34%K +2.90%G +0.353%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -15.48%E -8.65%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV +1.43%E +0.440%K +0.636%G +0.009%5.9%2026-04-09 01:49
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV +3.55%E +0.740%K +0.935%G +0.033%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -11.70%E -6.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -0.130%E -0.041%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 01:54
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV +3.55%E +0.740%K +0.935%G +0.033%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -11.70%E -6.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -0.130%E -0.041%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 01:54
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV +3.55%E +0.740%K +0.935%G +0.033%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -11.70%E -6.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -0.130%E -0.041%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 01:54
1xBet4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%EV +2.69%E +0.565%K +0.715%G +0.019%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.74%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.89%EV -2.00%E -0.638%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 01:55
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +2.47%E +0.521%K +0.660%G +0.016%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -7.93%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 00:44
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -0.762%E -0.166%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -14.06%E -7.73%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.25%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -0.762%E -0.166%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.47%EV -15.01%E -8.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 01:55
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -0.762%E -0.166%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.47%EV -15.01%E -8.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 01:55
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -0.762%E -0.166%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.47%EV -15.01%E -8.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 01:54
Pinnacle4.52I 22.12%NM 21.02%EV -2.49%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -5.75%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 01:55
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -2.92%E -0.649%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -12.61%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-09 01:55
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -2.92%E -0.649%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.60%EV -10.29%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.61%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-09 01:55
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.15%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 01:54
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.23%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.37%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 01:48
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 01:49
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -7.93%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 01:49
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -7.93%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 01:49
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -7.93%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 01:49
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -7.93%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.49%E -3.27%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 01:50
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.61%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 01:44
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -14.78%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -0.130%E -0.041%K -0.059%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 01:35
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -15.86%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.09%EV -12.65%E -6.84%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.57%EV -11.05%E -3.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-09 01:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-04-09 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-04-09 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%0.9%2026-04-09 01:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.33%1.4%2026-04-09 01:55
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.21%1.8%2026-04-09 01:55