赔率学院

Puerto Cabello v CA Juventud

开赛时间： 2026-05-21 22:00 UTC

最终结果： Puerto Cabello 1–1 CA Juventud

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Puerto Cabello (主队)

预测 47.32%2.11公平赔率
EV +5.52%
优势 +2.48%
Kelly +4.49%
增长率 +0.248%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
43.54%47.40%47.32%48.59%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.892.032.002.2352.91%49.34%50.00%44.84%MIN均值中位数MAX

CA Juventud (客队)

预测 23.07%4.33公平赔率
EV +1.53%
优势 +0.348%
Kelly +0.450%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.65%23.01%23.07%26.31%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.503.793.804.4028.57%26.41%26.32%22.73%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 29.61%3.38公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -0.696%
Kelly -0.999%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.77%29.59%29.61%30.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.103.103.3033.33%32.26%32.26%30.30%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV +5.52%E +2.48%K +4.49%G +0.248%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -13.47%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-21 21:50
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV +2.21%E +1.02%K +1.90%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 21:50
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV +2.21%E +1.02%K +1.90%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 21:50
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV +2.21%E +1.02%K +1.90%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV +2.21%E +1.02%K +1.90%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 21:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -1.58%E -0.759%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -19.24%E -5.50%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -1.58%E -0.759%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -19.24%E -5.50%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -1.58%E -0.759%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -19.24%E -5.50%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 21:50
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -1.58%E -0.759%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -19.24%E -5.50%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 21:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -19.24%E -5.50%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 21:49
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.93%EV -2.59%E -0.788%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 21:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.78%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 21:50
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.30%E -0.696%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 21:50
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 21:49
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 21:50
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -7.26%E -3.70%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 21:49
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 21:50
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 21:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 21:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 21:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -13.47%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 21:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.62%E -3.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.46%EV -10.57%E -5.59%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 21:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-05-21 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-05-21 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-05-21 21:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-05-21 21:50
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-05-21 21:50