La scuola delle quote

Palestino v Deportivo Riestra

Inizio: 2026-05-26 22:00 UTC

Finale: Palestino 1–1 Deportivo Riestra

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Palestino (Casa)

Previsione 29.79%3.36quota equa
EV -1.41%
Vantaggio -0.426%
Kelly -0.611%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.68%29.81%29.59%33.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.013.003.3136.36%33.22%33.33%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportivo Riestra (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.77%2.58quota equa
EV +1.97%
Vantaggio +0.750%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.83%38.79%38.93%39.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.432.452.6344.44%41.20%40.90%38.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.44%3.18quota equa
EV -0.957%
Vantaggio -0.304%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.69%31.40%31.48%32.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.882.972.963.1534.72%33.72%33.84%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%EV +1.97%E +0.750%K +1.21%G +0.024%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.12%EV -0.957%E -0.304%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -1.13%E -0.443%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 21:30
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -1.13%E -0.443%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 21:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -1.13%E -0.443%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 21:30
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -1.13%E -0.443%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 21:30
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -18.09%E -6.58%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -2.53%E -0.816%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 21:20
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -3.20%E -0.984%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.41%EV -3.84%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.25%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 21:39
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 21:40
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -14.22%E -4.94%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:30
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -14.22%E -4.94%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:30
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -14.22%E -4.94%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -14.22%E -4.94%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:30
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -14.22%E -4.94%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:30
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -4.39%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.39%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -6.93%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 21:40
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -8.19%E -2.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.95%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 21:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.95%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 21:50
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.68%EV -1.41%E -0.426%K -0.611%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.43%EV -5.04%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:49
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 21:49
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.72%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-26 21:50
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 21:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.82%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-26 21:50
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.82%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-26 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.82%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-26 21:50
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.82%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.45%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-26 21:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-26 21:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-26 21:50
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-05-26 21:50
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-05-26 21:50