L’École des cotesFrançais
Olimpia Asunción v Vasco da Gama
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Olimpia Asunción (Local)
Prévision 47.79%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.593%
Avantage -0.285%
Kelly -0.549%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.93%47.91%47.79%48.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.26%51.28%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.21%4.31cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -0.943%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%23.16%23.21%24.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.873.854.1827.03%25.85%25.97%23.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.00%3.45cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.581%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%28.94%29.00%29.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.29%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.91%EV -0.593%E -0.285%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.70%EV -1.39%E -0.410%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 20:09 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -10.66%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.68%EV -4.89%E -2.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -9.50%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.99%EV -1.68%E -0.497%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -6.33%E -3.23%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.73%EV -3.00%E -0.717%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 21:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.74%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-20 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.28%E -3.75%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -7.28%E -3.75%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -7.76%E -4.02%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -7.76%E -4.02%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -8.24%E -4.29%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.19%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.72%E -4.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.50%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.72%E -4.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.50%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.72%E -4.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.50%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -8.72%E -4.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 21:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.72%E -4.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.99%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-20 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -12.54%E -6.85%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -14.14%E -3.82%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.31%EV -10.09%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-05-20 21:50 |