默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olimpia Asunción v Vasco da Gama

开赛时间: 2026-08-20 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Olimpia Asunción 1–4 Vasco da Gama

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olimpia Asunción (主队)

预测 34.54%2.90公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.551%
Kelly -0.848%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
33.63%34.43%34.70%35.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.57%37.74%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Vasco da Gama (客队)

预测 34.78%2.88公平赔率
EV -0.875%
优势 -0.307%
Kelly -0.473%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.82%34.78%34.70%35.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.56%37.74%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.68%3.26公平赔率
EV -3.35%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.44%30.78%30.60%31.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.972.923.1535.71%33.64%34.25%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Olimpia Asunción (主队):34.54%;Vasco da Gama (客队):34.78%;平局:30.68%。 对于“Vasco da Gama (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.88。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.85,期望值为-0.875%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -1.57%E -0.551%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.83%EV -6.79%E -2.53%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%EV -3.35%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 21:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -3.30%E -1.18%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.02%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.58%EV -3.35%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 21:54
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.02%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -5.02%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -7.83%E -2.95%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 21:20
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.78%EV -5.37%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.96%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 21:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 21:40
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.75%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 21:49
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.75%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.83%E -2.95%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.75%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.83%E -2.95%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.75%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.83%E -2.95%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 21:54
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.75%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.83%E -2.95%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -6.42%E -2.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 21:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.48%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-20 21:40
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.48%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.83%E -2.95%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -10.41%E -3.56%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -8.48%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-20 21:20
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.57%EV -9.17%E -3.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -0.875%E -0.307%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.60%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 21:52
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.51%E -3.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 21:40
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.51%E -3.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.51%E -3.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.51%E -3.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.87%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 20:54
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.20%E -3.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-20 20:04
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -10.20%E -3.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -8.53%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-20 21:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.20%E -3.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.89%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-20 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.20%E -3.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.89%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-20 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.20%E -3.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.89%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-20 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.20%E -3.92%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.89%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.89%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-20 21:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.66%E -5.46%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -8.87%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-20 21:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-08-20 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-20 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.95%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.7%2026-08-20 21:55
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-08-20 21:55