L’École des cotes

Olimpia Asunción v Audax Italiano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Score final : Olimpia Asunción 3–1 Audax Italiano

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Olimpia Asunción (Local)

Prévision 61.39%1.63cote équitable
EV -0.547%
Avantage -0.338%
Kelly -0.882%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.53%61.30%61.42%62.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.6269.44%65.50%65.36%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Audax Italiano (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.62%6.40cote équitable
EV -0.180%
Avantage -0.028%
Kelly -0.033%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.82%15.72%15.88%17.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.645.606.3920.00%17.72%17.86%15.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.268%
Kelly -0.349%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.91%22.98%22.70%24.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.003.954.3026.32%24.99%25.32%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.06%EV -0.547%E -0.338%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-27 21:19
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.73%EV -3.62%E -2.30%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.13%EV -1.59%E -0.252%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 21:09
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.77%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.55%EV -10.49%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -3.91%E -0.936%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.52%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.52%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 21:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.52%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 21:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -12.52%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 21:10
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.84%E -3.13%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -12.52%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 21:47
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -4.84%E -3.13%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -15.65%E -2.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 21:40
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 20:29
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.40%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 21:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.18%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.89%E -4.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-27 19:30
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -6.69%E -4.40%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-27 21:19
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -6.69%E -4.40%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-27 21:19
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.82%EV -0.180%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.45%EV -2.99%E -0.709%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 21:40
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.27%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -1.15%E -0.268%K -0.349%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 21:39
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:20
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 21:19
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.76%E -6.64%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.27%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-27 20:49
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.25%EV -9.76%E -6.64%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.03%EV -18.77%E -3.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-27 21:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.60%E -8.05%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-27 21:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.60%E -8.05%K -26.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -14.08%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-27 21:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.70%0.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.70%0.2%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-05-27 21:50
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-05-27 21:50