La scuola delle quote

O'Higgins v Millonarios

Inizio: 2026-04-08 00:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

O'Higgins (Casa)

Previsione 34.84%2.87quota equa
EV -0.693%
Vantaggio -0.243%
Kelly -0.374%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.95%34.83%34.77%35.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.662.632.8540.82%37.65%38.02%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Millonarios (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.14%2.85quota equa
EV -1.61%
Vantaggio -0.577%
Kelly -0.897%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.25%35.04%35.16%35.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.00%38.17%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.02%3.33quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.52%30.13%30.07%31.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.873.033.023.2234.84%33.04%33.06%31.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.693%E -0.243%K -0.374%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.37%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.69%EV -5.14%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 23:59
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -2.43%E -0.870%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -1.61%E -0.577%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-07 23:59
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.02%EV -5.22%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -5.48%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -3.34%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 23:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 00:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.13%E -1.90%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 23:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 00:01
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 23:59
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -7.59%E -2.89%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 23:59
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 00:01
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.24%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.24%EV -7.59%E -2.89%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 00:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:59
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 00:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.36%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.16%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 00:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.94%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-07 23:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.94%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 00:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.94%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 00:01
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.94%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 00:01
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.94%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 00:01
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.16%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 00:01
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -12.16%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.75%EV -13.85%E -4.83%K -7.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-08 00:01
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.64%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -10.40%E -4.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-07 23:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.39%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-04-08 00:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.68%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.69%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.63%2.3%2026-04-08 00:01
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.84%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%4.8%2026-04-08 00:01
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 34.48%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%9.0%2026-04-08 00:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 26.68%1.55I 64.52%NM 48.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 24.44%32.0%2026-04-08 00:01