The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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O'Higgins v CA Boston River

Kickoff: 2026-04-29 02:00 UTC

Final: O'Higgins 2–0 CA Boston River

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

O'Higgins (Local)

Prediction 55.05%1.82fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.993%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.10%54.81%55.19%55.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.731.8561.73%58.11%57.97%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CA Boston River (Visit)

Prediction 18.74%5.34fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.42%18.76%18.80%20.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.644.605.0623.81%21.57%21.74%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.43%26.01%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.483.6530.77%28.99%28.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 55.05%; CA Boston River (Visit): 18.74%; Draw: 26.21%. For O'Higgins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV +1.84%E +0.993%K +2.16%G +0.040%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:49
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -0.366%E -0.202%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.66%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -0.366%E -0.202%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.66%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -0.366%E -0.202%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.66%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -0.366%E -0.202%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -15.66%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -18.47%E -4.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -18.47%E -4.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -18.47%E -4.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -18.47%E -4.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:49
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 02:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 02:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -4.77%E -2.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.04%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 02:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.19%EV -5.32%E -3.09%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.80%EV -5.35%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 04:00
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.32%E -3.09%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -11.91%E -2.53%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:45
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.74%EV -6.85%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.74%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 08:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -6.42%E -3.78%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.29%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 02:04
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.75%EV -7.52%E -4.48%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.58%EV -7.23%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.57%E -2.77%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.42%EV -5.17%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -5.11%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 03:30
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.16%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:59
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.66%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 02:49
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -15.66%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 08:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -18.85%E -4.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.49%EV -8.62%E -5.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 02:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.04%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -13.79%E -3.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 02:05
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -10.82%E -6.68%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -21.28%E -5.07%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-21 02:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 53.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%16.6%2026-04-21 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 18:39