Langue:Français
Montevideo City Torque v Club Cienciano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montevideo City Torque (Local)
Prévision 16.40%6.10cote équitable
EV +3.32%
Avantage +0.527%
Kelly +0.627%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 6.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.19%16.45%16.30%18.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.565.556.3020.00%17.99%18.02%15.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Club Cienciano (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.38%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.57%60.34%60.46%61.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.461.541.541.6168.49%65.04%64.94%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.22%4.31cote équitable
EV +1.23%
Avantage +0.281%
Kelly +0.365%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 4.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.51%23.20%23.24%25.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.903.904.3628.17%25.63%25.64%22.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Montevideo City Torque (Local) : 16.40% ; Club Cienciano (Visiteur) : 60.38% ; Match nul : 23.22%. Pour Montevideo City Torque (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.10. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.30, soit une espérance positive de +3.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.19%EV +3.32%E +0.527%K +0.627%G +0.021% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.75%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.06%EV -3.65%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV +2.50%E +0.400%K +0.477%G +0.012% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.78%E -1.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.29%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.463%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.95%EV -2.78%E -1.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.51%EV +1.23%E +0.281%K +0.365%G +0.004% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -3.24%E -0.549%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.06%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -16.42%E -4.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.01%EV -3.73%E -0.635%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.54%EV -3.19%E -0.764%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -4.88%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -5.20%E -3.31%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -4.88%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -4.88%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -4.88%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.70%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -5.70%E -0.991%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.16%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.81%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.16%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -4.81%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:21 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -8.16%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.80%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -5.20%E -3.31%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.80%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.80%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.80%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.43%E -6.28%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.44%EV -11.44%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.80%EV -11.84%E -8.11%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -11.44%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -9.43%E -6.28%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -17.58%E -4.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -11.44%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -9.43%E -6.28%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -17.58%E -4.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -11.44%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -9.43%E -6.28%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -17.58%E -4.95%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-08 06:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -13.90%E -2.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -9.43%E -6.28%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -18.00%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.00%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.00%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.00%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -18.00%E -3.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -9.43%E -6.28%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.94%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |