Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Montevideo City Torque v Club Cienciano

Inizio: 2026-09-18 00:30 UTC

Finale: Montevideo City Torque 3–0 Club Cienciano

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

28 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Montevideo City Torque (Casa)

Previsione 62.35%1.60quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -4.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.54%62.36%62.30%63.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.481.491.5670.42%67.39%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Club Cienciano (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.92%6.28quota equa
EV +1.86%
Vantaggio +0.291%
Kelly +0.345%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.26%15.91%15.97%17.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.255.755.786.4019.05%17.39%17.32%15.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.74%4.60quota equa
EV +2.16%
Vantaggio +0.460%
Kelly +0.584%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.60%21.73%21.73%23.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.244.304.7025.97%23.58%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Montevideo City Torque (Casa): 62.35%; Club Cienciano (Trasferta): 15.92%; Pareggio: 21.74%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.60. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.16%.

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.91%EV -4.61%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%EV +1.86%E +0.291%K +0.345%G +0.006%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +2.16%E +0.460%K +0.584%G +0.013%2.3%2026-09-17 23:34
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.88%EV -15.49%E -2.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -1.10%E -0.241%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.60%E -6.62%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.51%E -0.751%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -2.18%E -0.486%K -0.624%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 00:29
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.12%EV -5.23%E -3.44%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.33%EV -0.367%E -0.059%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV -3.27%E -0.735%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.59%EV -2.74%E -1.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.57%EV -7.69%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.51%E -0.751%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -7.10%E -4.77%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -7.69%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 23:34
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -7.10%E -4.77%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -7.69%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 23:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -7.10%E -4.77%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -7.69%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -7.10%E -4.77%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -7.69%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -4.36%E -0.991%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 23:34
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.22%E -7.10%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.51%E -0.751%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -5.88%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 00:29
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.86%E -3.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.48%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -6.53%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 00:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.69%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.53%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -8.97%E -6.15%K -19.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.51%E -0.751%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.53%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.73%E -5.22%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.87%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -5.23%E -3.44%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.48%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.62%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.22%E -7.10%K -23.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.46%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.71%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-17 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.84%E -7.58%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -12.46%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-17 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.84%E -7.58%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -12.46%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-17 23:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.50%EV -11.47%E -8.08%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -10.87%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -10.88%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 00:29
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.69%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -13.05%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 00:19
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.48%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.05%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.48%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.05%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.48%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.05%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 00:15
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.73%E -5.22%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.44%E -3.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.05%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 20:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.22%E -7.10%K -23.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.46%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.05%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-17 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -10.84%E -7.58%K -25.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -15.65%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -13.05%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-18 00:28
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.83%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -6.10%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -16.31%E -4.24%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 00:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-09-18 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-09-18 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-09-18 00:25
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-09-18 00:25