La scuola delle quote

Millonarios v CA Boston River

Inizio: 2026-04-16 02:00 UTC

Finale: Millonarios 1–0 CA Boston River

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Millonarios (Casa)

Previsione 80.37%1.24quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -2.27%
Kelly -13.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.49%80.26%80.37%81.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.161.171.2190.91%86.39%85.47%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CA Boston River (Trasferta)

Previsione 5.33%18.77quota equa
EV +1.22%
Vantaggio +0.064%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 19.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.96%5.38%5.33%6.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
13.0016.0316.0019.007.69%6.24%6.25%5.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 14.30%6.99quota equa
EV +5.11%
Vantaggio +0.695%
Kelly +0.804%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.77%14.37%14.30%15.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.706.526.507.3517.54%15.34%15.38%13.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.36%E -3.66%K -22.93%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.11%EV +1.22%E +0.064%K +0.068%G +0.001%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.22%EV +5.11%E +0.695%K +0.804%G +0.041%2.9%2026-04-16 01:49
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -2.75%E -2.27%K -13.09%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.06%EV -14.76%E -0.923%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 01:54
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 81.33%EV -6.77%E -5.83%K -42.30%G +0.000%18.15I 5.51%NM 5.20%EV -3.31%E -0.182%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 01:54
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.09%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -14.76%E -0.923%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 01:19
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.77%E -5.83%K -42.30%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -14.76%E -0.923%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 01:50
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -10.79%E -9.72%K -98.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -9.43%E -0.555%K -0.590%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-16 01:34
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -11.59%E -10.54%K -115.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -20.09%E -1.34%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-16 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.09%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV -14.76%E -0.923%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.47%E -0.514%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:54
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.09%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV -14.76%E -0.923%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.47%E -0.514%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:54
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.09%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV -14.76%E -0.923%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.47%E -0.514%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:54
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.09%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV -14.76%E -0.923%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.47%E -0.514%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:55
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 79.77%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.48%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -20.09%E -1.34%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.05%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -20.09%E -1.34%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.05%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 01:53
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -20.09%E -1.34%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.05%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-16 01:54
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -30.74%E -2.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.05%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 01:19
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 79.61%EV -10.79%E -9.72%K -98.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -30.74%E -2.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.59%EV -7.05%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-16 01:35
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -5.16%E -4.37%K -28.67%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV +1.22%E +0.064%K +0.068%G +0.001%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -10.62%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 01:25
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -7.57%E -6.58%K -50.48%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV -25.42%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.53%EV -10.62%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 01:24
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 79.12%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -9.43%E -0.555%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 01:30
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.12%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -9.43%E -0.555%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 01:29
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.12%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -9.43%E -0.555%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 01:29
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.12%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -9.43%E -0.555%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 01:30
betfred_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -20.09%E -1.34%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 01:19
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.27%EV -5.96%E -5.10%K -35.09%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.01%EV -1.44%E -0.078%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -15.63%E -2.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 01:34
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.49%EV -10.79%E -9.72%K -98.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.22%EV -25.42%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.29%EV -18.49%E -3.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-16 01:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 83.91%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-04-16 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.74%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.49%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-16 01:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.74%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.49%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-16 01:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.74%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.49%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-16 01:39
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.65%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%2.4%2026-04-16 01:55