语言:简体中文
Macará v Santos
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Macará (主队)
预测 45.19%2.21公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -2.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
43.62%45.28%44.94%46.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.93%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
Santos (客队)
预测 25.55%3.91公平赔率
EV +0.175%
优势 +0.045%
Kelly +0.060%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.92
博彩公司预测分布
24.28%25.43%25.84%27.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.563.503.9230.30%28.09%28.57%25.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.26%3.42公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -0.592%
Kelly -0.844%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
28.56%29.28%29.23%30.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.173.153.3533.33%31.58%31.75%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Macará (主队)：45.19%；Santos (客队)：25.55%；平局：29.26%。 对于“Santos (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.91。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.92，对应+0.175%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV +0.175%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -1.61%E -0.419%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.89%E -0.761%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -8.72%E -4.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.65%EV -2.85%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.72%E -4.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.03%EV -8.27%E -4.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -5.96%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 21:52 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.94%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -6.46%E -3.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.37%E -3.59%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.89%E -6.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-20 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.89%E -6.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.11%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-20 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.11%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.63%E -4.81%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-20 21:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 0.5% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |