语言:简体中文
Macará v CA Tigre BA
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Macará (主队)
预测 39.47%2.53公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -0.848%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
38.55%39.39%39.53%40.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.352.382.4846.51%42.49%42.02%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
CA Tigre BA (客队)
预测 28.22%3.54公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -0.681%
Kelly -0.958%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.46
博彩公司预测分布
27.51%28.18%28.32%30.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.253.4633.33%31.19%30.77%28.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.30%3.10公平赔率
EV +3.37%
优势 +1.05%
Kelly +1.53%
增长率 +0.052%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
30.26%32.43%32.16%33.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.912.903.2037.04%34.40%34.48%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Macará (主队)：39.47%；CA Tigre BA (客队)：28.22%；平局：32.30%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.10。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.20，对应+3.37%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.40%EV -2.10%E -0.848%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV +3.37%E +1.05%K +1.53%G +0.052% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +0.144%E +0.047%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +0.144%E +0.047%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +0.144%E +0.047%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +0.144%E +0.047%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -3.09%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.09%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -4.70%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -4.70%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -4.70%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -4.70%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -5.66%E -2.37%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.53%EV -2.36%E -0.681%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -5.67%E -1.94%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.32%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.96%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -8.90%E -3.16%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -15.13%E -7.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -9.55%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-06 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.16%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.16%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.16%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.16%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.16%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.78%E -4.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.12% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.12% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.12% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.90% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 23:50 |