L’École des cotesFrançais
Macará v América de Cali
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Macará (Local)
Prévision 27.05%3.70cote équitable
EV +5.48%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.103%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.79%26.88%27.05%28.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.523.523.9031.25%28.43%28.37%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
América de Cali (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.27%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.888%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.41%39.47%39.27%41.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.312.292.4947.62%43.31%43.76%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.68%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.638%
Avantage -0.216%
Kelly -0.327%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.63%33.65%33.68%35.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.762.752.9538.02%36.19%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV +5.48%E +1.40%K +1.89%G +0.103% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.89%EV -8.49%E -3.65%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.09%EV -0.638%E -0.216%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV +3.85%E +1.00%K +1.36%G +0.052% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -10.85%E -4.78%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.28%EV -3.67%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +3.58%E +0.936%K +1.27%G +0.045% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.98%EV -2.21%E -0.888%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.68%EV -8.38%E -3.08%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -11.64%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -11.64%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -11.64%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV +1.42%E +0.379%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -11.64%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.01%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -1.28%E -0.352%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -13.60%E -6.18%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -1.28%E -0.352%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -14.39%E -6.60%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -1.28%E -0.352%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -14.39%E -6.60%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -1.28%E -0.352%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -14.39%E -6.60%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.99%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -4.96%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:20 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 00:23 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.75%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -5.69%E -2.03%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.67%E -4.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.67%E -4.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 00:10 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.64%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-10 00:15 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.64%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.42%E -4.34%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-10 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -17.53%E -8.35%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.63%EV -10.74%E -4.05%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-10 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.96%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 00:15 |
| William Hill | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 00:15 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 00:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.17% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.91% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.11% | 1.8% | 2026-04-10 00:25 |