语言:简体中文
Independiente Santa Fe v River Plate
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Independiente Santa Fe (主队)
预测 28.06%3.56公平赔率
EV +1.03%
优势 +0.285%
Kelly +0.395%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.38%27.95%28.16%28.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.343.303.6032.26%29.94%30.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
River Plate (客队)
预测 38.88%2.57公平赔率
EV -3.57%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -2.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
38.55%38.92%38.96%41.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.172.322.302.4846.08%43.12%43.48%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 33.05%3.03公平赔率
EV -0.836%
优势 -0.279%
Kelly -0.418%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
32.04%33.13%32.89%34.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.822.803.0037.04%35.48%35.71%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Independiente Santa Fe (主队)：28.06%；River Plate (客队)：38.88%；平局：33.05%。 对于“Independiente Santa Fe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.56。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.60，对应+1.03%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV +1.03%E +0.285%K +0.395%G +0.004% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -0.836%E -0.279%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.70%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.45%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.38%EV -0.657%E -0.186%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.91%EV -9.02%E -3.85%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.71%EV -8.44%E -3.05%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -2.06%E -0.590%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -6.79%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.18%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.18%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.18%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.18%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.68%EV -10.09%E -3.71%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.74%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.45%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.45%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.45%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.45%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 23:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.65%EV -6.29%E -2.61%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -15.63%E -7.20%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -15.63%E -7.20%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -15.63%E -7.20%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -15.63%E -7.20%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.45%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.00%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.57%E -4.60%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.45%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 19:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.19% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.19% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.19% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |