The School of OddsIndependiente Santa Fe v Caracas FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Prediction 60.63%1.65fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -9.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.29%60.63%60.63%66.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.401.5671%70%71%64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Caracas FC (Visit)
Prediction 14.96%6.68fair odd
EV +34.65%
Edge +3.85%
Kelly +4.33%
Growth +1.50%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.33%14.96%14.96%16.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.607.497.509.0018%13%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV +6.92%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.142%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.34%24.41%24.41%24.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.903.924.3829%26%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV +34.65%E +3.85%K +4.33%G +1.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV +34.65%E +3.85%K +4.33%G +1.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV +34.65%E +3.85%K +4.33%G +1.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV +34.65%E +3.85%K +4.33%G +1.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV +34.65%E +3.85%K +4.33%G +1.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV +19.69%E +2.46%K +2.81%G +0.554% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV +19.69%E +2.46%K +2.81%G +0.554% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV +19.69%E +2.46%K +2.81%G +0.554% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 22:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV +4.73%E +0.676%K +0.788%G +0.037% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV +4.73%E +0.676%K +0.788%G +0.037% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-30 01:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.74%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.92%EV -1.85%E -0.283%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.34%EV +6.92%E +1.58%K +2.05%G +0.142% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.85%E -5.16%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -4.25%E -0.664%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-06 08:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.58%EV -15.12%E -10.80%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.79%EV -6.49%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-06-04 06:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.63%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -7.24%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-04 01:19 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -12.70%E -8.82%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.97%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-04 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.20%EV -16.22%E -2.90%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.