La scuola delle quote

Grêmio v Montevideo City Torque

Inizio: 2026-05-26 22:00 UTC

Finale: Grêmio 2–2 Montevideo City Torque

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Grêmio (Casa)

Previsione 60.42%1.65quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.925%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.59%60.31%60.62%61.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.541.541.6367.57%64.94%64.94%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montevideo City Torque (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.81%6.75quota equa
EV -0.060%
Vantaggio -0.009%
Kelly -0.010%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.15%14.87%14.65%17.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.256.176.256.7519.05%16.20%16.00%14.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.77%4.04quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.25%24.82%24.73%26.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.693.703.8528.57%27.13%27.03%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.07%EV -1.51%E -0.925%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.50%EV -0.060%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-26 21:40
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.05%EV -4.53%E -2.87%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.77%EV -5.13%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 21:49
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -3.76%E -0.579%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 21:30
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.89%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.24%E -0.819%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 21:39
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -14.13%E -2.44%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 21:39
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.579%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 21:49
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.46%EV -3.17%E -0.485%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -6.12%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 21:40
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 21:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -5.24%E -0.819%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -5.24%E -0.819%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:39
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -5.74%E -3.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -5.24%E -0.819%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.34%E -4.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.88%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 21:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -6.34%E -4.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -5.24%E -0.819%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -12.07%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 21:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.55%E -4.93%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 21:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.55%E -4.93%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.55%E -4.93%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 21:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -7.55%E -4.93%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -22.27%E -4.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.04%EV -8.15%E -5.36%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-26 21:39
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.04%EV -8.15%E -5.36%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-26 21:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.20%EV -8.76%E -5.80%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.20%EV -8.76%E -5.80%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-26 21:40
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.76%E -0.579%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 21:38
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-26 21:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-26 21:39
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -14.87%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-26 21:29
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.85%EV -10.57%E -7.14%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.54%EV -15.61%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-26 21:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-05-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-05-26 21:50
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-05-26 21:50
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-05-26 21:50