赔率学院

Grêmio v Deportivo Pereira

开赛时间： 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

最终结果： Grêmio 1–0 Deportivo Pereira

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Grêmio (主队)

预测 52.32%1.91公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -3.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
49.18%53.33%51.81%60.54%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.551.761.801.8564.52%56.66%55.56%54.05%MIN均值中位数MAX

Deportivo Pereira (客队)

预测 15.65%6.39公平赔率
EV +9.56%
优势 +1.37%
Kelly +1.59%
增长率 +0.152%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.96%15.92%16.05%19.57%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.605.855.757.0021.74%17.10%17.39%14.29%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 32.03%3.12公平赔率
EV +20.10%
优势 +5.36%
Kelly +7.31%
增长率 +1.47%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.02%30.75%32.14%33.18%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.962.923.7537.04%33.78%34.25%26.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -18.90%E -12.20%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +1.74%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV +20.10%E +5.36%K +7.31%G +1.47%6.6%2026-04-14 07:59
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.51%EV -7.92%E -4.50%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV +9.56%E +1.37%K +1.59%G +0.152%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV +2.49%E +0.778%K +1.13%G +0.028%2.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.40%EV -10.53%E -6.16%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +5.65%E +0.837%K +0.983%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.713%E -0.230%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.40%EV -10.53%E -6.16%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +5.65%E +0.837%K +0.983%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.713%E -0.230%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.40%EV -10.53%E -6.16%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +5.65%E +0.837%K +0.983%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.713%E -0.230%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.40%EV -10.53%E -6.16%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV +5.65%E +0.837%K +0.983%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.713%E -0.230%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.74%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 21:29
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.29%EV -13.15%E -7.92%K -19.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV +1.74%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -14.20%E -8.66%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV +1.74%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -14.20%E -8.66%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV +1.74%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -14.20%E -8.66%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV +1.74%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 21:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.00%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.52%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 21:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.62%EV -22.52%E -4.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -6.48%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 21:30
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -7.03%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.48%E -2.87%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:30
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.91%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 16.97%EV -14.07%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 21:30
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.18%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -28.00%E -6.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-14 21:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -21.74%E -4.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 21:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -21.74%E -4.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 21:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -21.74%E -4.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -21.74%E -4.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 21:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.56%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -24.87%E -5.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-14 21:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.91%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -11.92%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 21:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.91%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -11.92%E -4.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-14 21:30
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.06%EV -17.83%E -3.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-14 21:30
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.95%0.2%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.10%0.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.86%0.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.29%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-04-14 21:30
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.77%1.4%2026-04-14 21:30