语言:简体中文
Deportivo Riestra v Grêmio
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Deportivo Riestra (主队)
预测 31.08%3.22公平赔率
EV +0.070%
优势 +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.22
博彩公司预测分布
29.27%30.95%31.23%32.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.852.962.903.2235.09%33.81%34.48%31.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
Grêmio (客队)
预测 34.31%2.91公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -0.778%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.85
博彩公司预测分布
33.21%34.39%34.07%36.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.702.702.8538.46%37.01%37.04%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 34.61%2.89公平赔率
EV +0.375%
优势 +0.129%
Kelly +0.198%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
33.28%34.67%34.70%35.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.692.702.9040.00%37.16%37.04%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Deportivo Riestra (主队)：31.08%；Grêmio (客队)：34.31%；平局：34.61%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.89。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.90，对应+0.375%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.28%EV -2.22%E -0.778%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.69%EV +0.375%E +0.129%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -10.50%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.62%EV +0.070%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV -7.71%E -2.86%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.93%EV -5.51%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -0.551%E -0.172%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 21:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -11.43%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -11.43%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -11.43%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -11.43%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.46%EV -7.24%E -2.70%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.90%EV -8.39%E -3.14%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.03%EV -7.93%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.87%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.87%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.87%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.87%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.87%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.26%EV -10.81%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.24%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.87%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -10.50%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |