La scuola delle quote

Deportivo Pereira v Palestino

Inizio: 2026-04-08 22:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Deportivo Pereira (Casa)

Previsione 48.58%2.06quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.98%48.42%48.82%50.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.901.902.0054.95%52.65%52.77%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palestino (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.69%5.08quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.313%
Kelly -0.391%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.27%19.92%19.64%22.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.614.555.0025.00%21.69%21.98%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.73%3.15quota equa
EV +3.12%
Vantaggio +0.961%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.50%31.66%31.54%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.70%33.33%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 50.05%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.92%EV -3.53%E -0.721%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.03%EV +3.12%E +0.961%K +1.39%G +0.043%2.5%2026-04-08 22:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.05%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.92%EV -3.53%E -0.721%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.03%EV +3.12%E +0.961%K +1.39%G +0.043%2.5%2026-04-08 22:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.29%EV -8.66%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -0.051%E -0.016%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 22:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.90%EV -3.93%E -0.805%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.53%EV -2.27%E -0.738%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03%EV -8.18%E -4.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.41%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.22%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 22:00
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03%EV -8.18%E -4.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.41%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -3.22%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 22:00
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -11.58%E -6.36%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -13.38%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -3.22%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-08 22:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.75%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.28%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.50%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 21:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -3.53%E -0.721%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.38%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 22:00
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.38%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 22:00
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -21.25%E -5.31%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-08 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.38%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 22:00
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -2.55%E -0.515%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 21:59
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -8.66%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.50%EV -7.35%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 21:59
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.43%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.47%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 22:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.11%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.44%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 22:00
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.11%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -1.56%E -0.313%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.16%E -3.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 22:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.41%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -11.16%E -3.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 22:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.41%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -11.16%E -3.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.47%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.41%E -2.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -11.16%E -3.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-08 22:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.10%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -14.75%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13%EV -11.16%E -3.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 22:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.22%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -6.49%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -12.74%E -4.63%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 22:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-04-08 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-04-08 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%3.2%2026-04-08 22:00
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 49.56%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%3.5%2026-04-08 22:00
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%6.3%2026-04-08 22:00