Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube Atlético Mineiro v Montevideo City Torque

2026-10-14 20:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

66%

12%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube Atlético Mineiro (Local)

Prediction 66.30%1.51fair odd

EV -4.53%

Edge -3.15%

Kelly -10.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.01%66.30%66.30%67.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.381.381.4476.34%72.46%72.20%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montevideo City Torque (Visit)

Prediction 11.60%8.62fair odd

EV +20.66%

Edge +1.99%

Kelly +2.20%

Growth +0.454%

assuming max odds 10.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.41%11.60%11.60%13.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.507.777.7510.4015.38%12.86%12.90%9.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.10%4.53fair odd

EV -4.53%

Edge -1.05%

Kelly -1.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.72%22.10%22.10%23.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.603.994.004.3227.78%25.06%25.00%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Clube Atlético Mineiro (Local): 66.30%; Montevideo City Torque (Visit): 11.60%; Draw: 22.10%. For Montevideo City Torque (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.62. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.40, producing a positive expected value of +20.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.94%EV -4.53%E -3.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%	10.40I 9.62%NM 9.41%EV +20.66%E +1.99%K +2.20%G +0.454%	4.32I 23.15%NM 22.65%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-18 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -7.18%E -5.13%K -17.96%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.18%E -0.898%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-18 11:49
SportsBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.85%E -5.64%K -20.12%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.18%E -0.898%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-18 11:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.83%E -7.23%K -27.32%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -7.18%E -0.898%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-18 11:19
LeoVegas🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -8.51%E -6.17%K -22.39%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.98%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-09-18 11:45
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -7.18%E -5.13%K -17.96%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -18.78%E -2.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-09-18 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 64.65%EV -13.15%E -10.04%K -42.42%G +0.000%	6.80I 14.71%NM 12.46%EV -21.10%E -3.10%K -3.64%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 22.89%EV -18.23%E -4.93%K -6.75%G +0.000%	18.1%	2026-09-18 11:45
Sky Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 63.01%EV -9.83%E -7.23%K -27.32%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -24.59%E -3.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -20.44%E -5.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%	16.7%	2026-09-18 11:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.