L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Clube Atlético Mineiro v CA Juventud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Clube Atlético Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 71.87%1.39cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -10.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.06%72.34%71.87%76.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.261.3483.33%78.87%79.37%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CA Juventud (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.84%10.16cote équitable
EV +27.97%
Avantage +2.15%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.652%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.51%9.47%9.84%11.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.5010.459.8913.0013.33%9.57%10.11%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.28%5.47cote équitable
EV +9.69%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.188%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.26%18.19%18.28%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.175.066.0022.22%19.34%19.74%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.23%EV -8.00%E -6.25%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV +27.97%E +2.15%K +2.33%G +0.652% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26%EV +9.69%E +1.62%K +1.94%G +0.188% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.16%EV -10.88%E -8.77%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +23.05%E +1.84%K +2.00%G +0.462% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +6.04%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.16%EV -10.88%E -8.77%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +23.05%E +1.84%K +2.00%G +0.462% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +6.04%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.16%EV -10.88%E -8.77%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +23.05%E +1.84%K +2.00%G +0.462% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +6.04%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.16%EV -10.88%E -8.77%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV +23.05%E +1.84%K +2.00%G +0.462% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +6.04%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -13.75%E -11.46%K -68.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV +18.13%E +1.51%K +1.65%G +0.299% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +2.38%E +0.425%K +0.518%G +0.012% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -13.75%E -11.46%K -68.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV +18.13%E +1.51%K +1.65%G +0.299% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +2.38%E +0.425%K +0.518%G +0.012% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -13.75%E -11.46%K -68.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV +18.13%E +1.51%K +1.65%G +0.299% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +2.38%E +0.425%K +0.518%G +0.012% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -13.75%E -11.46%K -68.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV +18.13%E +1.51%K +1.65%G +0.299% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +2.38%E +0.425%K +0.518%G +0.012% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -9.44%E -7.49%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.06%EV +16.16%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.242% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV +6.04%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 20:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.35%EV -10.16%E -8.13%K -40.63%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV +3.36%E +0.320%K +0.354%G +0.012% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.16%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -10.16%E -8.13%K -40.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -1.56%E -0.156%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.16%E -2.77%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 21:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.82%EV -5.13%E -3.88%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.69%EV -3.73%E -0.381%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.48%EV -6.21%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.92%EV -5.13%E -3.88%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.48%E -0.682%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -4.02%E -0.765%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 21:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -7.28%E -5.65%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -6.48%E -0.682%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.28%EV -5.13%E -3.88%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.98%EV -8.45%E -0.909%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -14.07%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 21:34 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -11.41%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -11.41%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -11.41%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -11.41%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -10.16%E -8.13%K -40.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -11.41%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.90%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.52%EV -4.41%E -3.31%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV -13.87%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.59%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 21:52 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.72%EV -3.69%E -2.75%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.56%EV -20.46%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -8.77%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.06%EV -9.44%E -7.49%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.60%EV -26.17%E -3.49%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -17.73%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-16 21:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.03% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.03% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 1.1% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 1.1% | 2026-04-16 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.93% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |