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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Club Independiente Petrolero v Guabirá

开赛时间： 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Club Independiente Petrolero (主队)

预测 43.66%2.29公平赔率
EV -4.82%
优势 -2.21%
Kelly -4.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布
42.13%43.72%43.51%45.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.102.062.1850.00%47.71%48.54%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Guabirá (客队)

预测 30.25%3.31公平赔率
EV -1.68%
优势 -0.517%
Kelly -0.747%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.77%30.14%30.52%31.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.073.133.2534.48%32.53%32.00%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.09%3.83公平赔率
EV -3.48%
优势 -0.940%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
24.49%26.14%25.97%26.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.513.503.7029.41%28.49%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Club Independiente Petrolero (主队)：43.66%；Guabirá (客队)：30.25%；平局：26.09%。 对于“Guabirá (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.31。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.25，期望值为-1.68%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -4.82%E -2.21%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -7.43%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -9.22%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.21%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -9.85%E -3.30%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.47%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.57%EV -3.50%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 21:46
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.22%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 21:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 21:40
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 21:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.27%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.30%E -3.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 21:55
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.06%E -4.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.06%E -4.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 14:55
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.06%E -4.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.06%E -4.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.06%E -4.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.06%E -4.88%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.69%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.68%E -0.517%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 14:38
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.93%E -5.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.93%E -5.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.93%E -5.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.71%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 16:00
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 21:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-03 21:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-03-03 21:55