L’École des cotesFrançais
Club Independiente Petrolero v Caracas FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Club Independiente Petrolero (Local)
Prévision 42.08%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%41.97%42.11%43.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.55%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Caracas FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.615%
Kelly -0.863%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.12%28.07%28.28%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.253.4833.33%31.03%30.77%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.80%3.36cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.543%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%29.96%29.61%31.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.163.203.4034.48%31.65%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.11%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%EV +1.30%E +0.383%K +0.543%G +0.007% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.91%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -9.10%E -4.21%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -9.10%E -4.21%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -9.10%E -4.21%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -9.10%E -4.21%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.54%EV -7.84%E -3.58%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.12%EV -2.14%E -0.615%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.55%EV -7.93%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.26%E -3.79%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.59%E -4.69%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (2)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |