L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Club Cienciano v Puerto Cabello
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Club Cienciano (Local)
Prévision 57.16%1.75cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -6.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.95%57.28%57.16%60.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.66%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Puerto Cabello (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.70%5.35cote équitable
EV +8.49%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.150%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.56%18.55%18.70%19.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.145.005.8021.05%19.45%20.00%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.14%4.14cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.328%
Kelly +0.430%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%24.17%24.14%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.863.854.2028.57%25.90%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.02%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -1.04%E -0.253%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.68%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.02%EV +7.55%E +1.31%K +1.59%G +0.120% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%EV +1.38%E +0.328%K +0.430%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -7.40%E -4.57%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 01:58 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -9.69%E -6.13%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -1.04%E -0.253%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -1.04%E -0.253%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -1.04%E -0.253%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -1.04%E -0.253%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.49%EV -12.55%E -8.20%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -0.867%E -0.164%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.49%EV -12.55%E -8.20%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -0.867%E -0.164%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.49%EV -12.55%E -8.20%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -0.867%E -0.164%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.34%EV -3.30%E -0.638%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.19%EV -5.38%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 01:58 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.52%E -4.43%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.65%EV -7.40%E -4.57%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.41%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.74%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.95%EV -7.60%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.40%E -4.57%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.98%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.98%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.98%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.55%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.80%EV -10.26%E -6.54%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -11.90%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-17 01:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.18% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-17 02:00 |