The School of Odds
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Club Cienciano v CA Juventud

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Final: Club Cienciano 1–1 CA Juventud

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Cienciano (Local)

Prediction 62.69%1.60fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.01%62.88%62.69%64.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.461.5671.43%68.08%68.49%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CA Juventud (Visit)

Prediction 15.09%6.63fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.213%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.41%15.04%15.09%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.076.056.5518.18%16.46%16.53%15.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.22%4.50fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%22.09%22.22%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.144.204.4225.00%24.18%23.81%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Cienciano (Local): 62.69%; CA Juventud (Visit): 15.09%; Draw: 22.22%. For CA Juventud (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.55, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.55%EV -2.20%E -1.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.01%EV -1.94%E -0.298%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.43%EV -3.34%E -0.769%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 21:29
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.24%EV -4.08%E -2.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.09%EV -4.80%E -0.761%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 20:49
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.34%EV -4.71%E -3.10%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.21%EV -6.01%E -0.965%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.45%EV -6.23%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -5.71%E -0.913%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:29
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -5.71%E -0.913%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -5.71%E -0.913%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -5.71%E -0.913%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 21:29
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 21:19
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.59%E -4.42%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -10.99%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 21:50
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 21:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -17.02%E -3.10%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-27 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.84%E -5.33%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.41%EV -1.18%E -0.181%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.36%EV -1.79%E -0.405%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.33%EV -8.47%E -5.80%K -18.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -7.97%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.33%EV -8.47%E -5.80%K -18.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -7.97%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.49%EV -9.09%E -6.27%K -20.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -7.97%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-27 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.49%EV -9.09%E -6.27%K -20.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -7.97%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-27 21:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.49%EV -9.09%E -6.27%K -20.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -7.97%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-27 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:49
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-27 21:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-27 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-27 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-27 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -13.25%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.12%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.84%EV -11.60%E -8.23%K -28.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -14.01%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -8.90%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-27 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.23%E -8.73%K -30.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.48%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-27 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-05-27 21:50
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%2.2%2026-05-27 21:50