语言:简体中文
Club Bolívar v Sao Paulo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Club Bolívar (主队)
预测 52.40%1.91公平赔率
EV -5.15%
优势 -2.85%
Kelly -6.36%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.81
博彩公司预测分布
51.41%52.36%52.37%53.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.761.761.8159.52%56.97%56.82%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sao Paulo (客队)
预测 20.84%4.80公平赔率
EV -0.999%
优势 -0.210%
Kelly -0.267%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.75
博彩公司预测分布
20.00%20.84%20.89%21.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.434.404.7523.81%22.56%22.73%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.75%3.74公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -0.643%
Kelly -0.886%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.65
博彩公司预测分布
26.27%26.80%26.74%27.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.433.403.6530.77%29.11%29.41%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Club Bolívar (主队)：52.40%；Sao Paulo (客队)：20.84%；平局：26.75%。 对于“Sao Paulo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.80。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.75，期望值为-0.999%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.28%EV -5.15%E -2.85%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -0.999%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.42%EV -2.35%E -0.643%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.04%E -0.434%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 21:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.29%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 16:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.34%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.29%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -9.75%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.09%EV -6.20%E -3.46%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -3.08%E -0.663%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -6.72%E -3.78%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63%EV -7.25%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.77%E -4.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.21%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -8.29%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 12:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -8.29%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -8.29%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.29%E -4.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -8.29%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 12:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.68%EV -8.82%E -5.07%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.00%EV -2.67%E -0.571%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -9.34%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.29%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -9.34%E -5.40%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -12.46%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.05%E -4.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-12 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -11.44%E -6.77%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -10.38%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-12 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -11.96%E -7.12%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -11.42%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -11.96%E -7.12%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -11.42%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -11.96%E -7.12%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -11.42%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -11.96%E -7.12%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -11.42%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |