默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Club Bolívar v Sao Paulo

2026-08-12 20:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Club Bolívar (主队)

预测 53.51%1.87公平赔率
EV -1.01%
优势 -0.549%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
49.46%53.51%53.87%57.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.761.751.8560.98%56.79%57.14%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sao Paulo (客队)

预测 22.76%4.39公平赔率
EV +6.97%
优势 +1.48%
Kelly +1.88%
增长率 +0.131%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
20.08%22.76%22.06%26.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.853.704.7029.41%25.94%27.03%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.73%4.21公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -0.362%
Kelly -0.477%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.15

博彩公司预测分布
22.74%23.73%24.07%25.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.783.754.1528.57%26.43%26.67%24.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Club Bolívar (主队):53.51%;Sao Paulo (客队):22.76%;平局:23.73%。 对于“Sao Paulo (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.39。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.70,由此产生+6.97%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -11.72%E -7.10%K -18.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +6.97%E +1.48%K +1.88%G +0.131%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -1.50%E -0.362%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 13:40
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.90%EV -2.62%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.75%EV +2.65%E +0.587%K +0.754%G +0.020%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.34%EV -4.35%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 13:50
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -7.97%E -4.63%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 13:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -9.04%E -5.32%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 13:49
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.04%E -5.32%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.93%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-31 11:04
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.12%EV -12.25%E -7.47%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -15.74%E -4.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-31 13:50
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -4.76%E -2.67%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 13:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 13:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -1.01%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 13:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -1.01%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -1.01%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 13:39
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -1.01%E -0.549%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 13:39
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -7.44%E -4.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -22.62%E -6.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -16.93%E -4.84%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-31 13:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

套利(4 种组合) +0.58%William Hill 1.85 (54.4%) / Coolbet 4.70 (21.4%) / Coolbet 4.15 (24.2%)显示全部 4 种组合
Club Bolívar (主队)Sao Paulo (客队)平局利润率
William Hill 1.85 (54.4%)Coolbet 4.70 (21.4%)Coolbet 4.15 (24.2%)+0.576%
888sport 1.85 (54.4%)Coolbet 4.70 (21.4%)Coolbet 4.15 (24.2%)+0.576%
Mr Green (SE) 1.85 (54.4%)Coolbet 4.70 (21.4%)Coolbet 4.15 (24.2%)+0.576%
888sport (SE) 1.85 (54.4%)Coolbet 4.70 (21.4%)Coolbet 4.15 (24.2%)+0.576%