赔率学院

Caracas FC v Metropolitanos FC

开赛时间： 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Caracas FC (主队)

预测 39.62%2.52公平赔率
EV -0.943%
优势 -0.377%
Kelly -0.628%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
38.06%39.58%39.43%40.76%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.252.322.302.5044.44%43.10%43.48%40.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Metropolitanos FC (客队)

预测 29.17%3.43公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -0.677%
Kelly -0.966%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
27.99%29.22%29.45%30.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.123.153.3533.33%32.04%31.75%29.85%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.20%3.20公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.342%
Kelly -0.500%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.17

博彩公司预测分布
30.21%31.20%31.13%32.04%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.852.932.903.1735.09%34.13%34.48%31.55%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -0.943%E -0.377%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.60%EV -7.52%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.60%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 21:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -11.02%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 21:55
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 21:55
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.38%EV -3.14%E -0.947%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -8.26%E -2.81%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 21:35
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 21:35
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -2.27%E -0.677%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 21:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 19:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 16:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:30
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:50
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:45
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:50
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-03 16:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 16:24
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%0.6%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-03-04 21:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.6%2026-03-04 21:55