Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Tigre BA v Montevideo City Torque

2026-08-12 20:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Tigre BA (Local)

Prediction 45.06%2.22fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%45.06%44.39%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1651.28%49.10%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montevideo City Torque (Visit)

Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV +0.457%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.151%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.28%24.99%25.28%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.504.0230.77%28.39%28.57%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.95%3.34fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%29.95%30.33%31.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.003.2635.71%32.82%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.13%E -6.22%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.28%EV +0.457%E +0.114%K +0.151%G +0.001%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.71%EV -2.36%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 20:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 01:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 01:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 02:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-30 01:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.79%EV -2.67%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 00:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 20:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 00:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.88%E -4.94%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-29 20:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.88%E -4.94%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -17.54%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-29 23:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -17.54%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -16.14%E -5.76%K -8.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-30 00:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -12.13%E -6.22%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -18.78%E -5.78%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-29 20:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.