L’École des cotesFrançais
CA Juventud v Puerto Cabello
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
CA Juventud (Local)
Prévision 43.82%2.28cote équitable
EV -5.78%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -5.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.92%43.88%43.82%45.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.072.1550.00%48.26%48.31%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Puerto Cabello (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV +2.37%
Avantage +0.601%
Kelly +0.805%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.40%25.94%25.92%27.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.603.603.9530.77%27.75%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.26%3.30cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.992%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.97%30.18%30.26%30.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.003.2035.71%32.78%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.47%EV -7.09%E -3.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV +2.37%E +0.601%K +0.805%G +0.019% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -3.17%E -0.992%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -0.218%E -0.057%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -0.218%E -0.057%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -0.218%E -0.057%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -0.218%E -0.057%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.78%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.35%E -6.18%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.35%E -6.18%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.35%E -6.18%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.35%E -6.18%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.78%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -5.92%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.62%EV -7.41%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.77%EV -6.65%E -3.12%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -6.18%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -7.41%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.78%E -2.69%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 09:56 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 10:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.09%E -3.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.71%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 17:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.97%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.16%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.16%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.16%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 09:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -12.35%E -6.18%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.16%E -4.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 14:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -12.35%E -6.18%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.77%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-23 09:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.83% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.02% | 16.5% | 2026-04-22 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-22 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-22 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-22 20:45 |