La scuola delle quote

CA Juventud v Club Cienciano

Inizio: 2026-04-09 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CA Juventud (Casa)

Previsione 45.21%2.21quota equa
EV -5.06%
Vantaggio -2.41%
Kelly -4.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.61%45.17%45.21%48.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.992.002.1054.05%50.33%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Club Cienciano (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.82%3.73quota equa
EV +9.95%
Vantaggio +2.43%
Kelly +3.21%
Crescita +0.319%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.54%26.86%26.82%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.633.584.1030.77%27.57%27.93%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.97%3.57quota equa
EV -0.693%
Vantaggio -0.195%
Kelly -0.272%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.30%27.97%27.97%28.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.343.303.5532.26%29.97%30.30%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.75%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +9.95%E +2.43%K +3.21%G +0.319%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%EV -0.693%E -0.195%K -0.272%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 21:55
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.84%EV -12.29%E -6.34%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -12.74%E -6.60%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -12.74%E -6.60%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -12.74%E -6.60%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -15.91%E -8.55%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV +3.24%E +0.842%K +1.14%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -16.36%E -8.84%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV +3.24%E +0.842%K +1.14%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-09 21:55
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -14.10%E -7.42%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +1.90%E +0.500%K +0.679%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 21:55
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.40%EV -5.51%E -2.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV +1.36%E +0.361%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.95%EV -2.93%E -0.845%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 21:55
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -15.00%E -7.98%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV +0.560%E +0.149%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-09 21:55
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.46%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.56%EV -5.51%E -2.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -4.00%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 21:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 21:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 21:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 21:55
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 21:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 21:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-09 21:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -5.96%E -2.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 21:44
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-09 21:45
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.25%EV -13.20%E -6.87%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-09 21:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%2.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%4.5%2026-04-09 21:55