L’École des cotesLangue:Français
CA Juventud v Club Cienciano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
CA Juventud (Local)
Prévision 45.21%2.21cote équitable
EV -5.06%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -4.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.61%45.17%45.21%48.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.992.002.1054.05%50.33%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Club Cienciano (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV +9.95%
Avantage +2.43%
Kelly +3.21%
Croissance +0.319%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.54%26.86%26.82%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.633.584.1030.77%27.57%27.93%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.97%3.57cote équitable
EV -0.693%
Avantage -0.195%
Kelly -0.272%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%27.97%27.97%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.303.5532.26%29.97%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.75%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +9.95%E +2.43%K +3.21%G +0.319% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%EV -0.693%E -0.195%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.84%EV -12.29%E -6.34%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -12.74%E -6.60%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -12.74%E -6.60%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -12.74%E -6.60%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV +7.26%E +1.82%K +2.42%G +0.176% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -15.91%E -8.55%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV +3.24%E +0.842%K +1.14%G +0.037% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -16.36%E -8.84%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV +3.24%E +0.842%K +1.14%G +0.037% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -14.10%E -7.42%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +1.90%E +0.500%K +0.679%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.40%EV -5.51%E -2.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV +1.36%E +0.361%K +0.491%G +0.007% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.95%EV -2.93%E -0.845%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -15.00%E -7.98%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV +0.560%E +0.149%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.46%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.56%EV -5.51%E -2.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -4.00%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -5.96%E -2.87%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.84%E -6.07%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.25%EV -13.20%E -6.87%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |