La scuola delle quote

CA Boston River v Sao Paulo

Inizio: 2026-04-08 00:32 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CA Boston River (Casa)

Previsione 16.21%6.17quota equa
EV +9.43%
Vantaggio +1.40%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescita +0.155%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.32%15.94%16.21%17.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.105.945.976.7519.61%16.84%16.75%14.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sao Paulo (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.52%1.71quota equa
EV -3.45%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -5.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.06%58.77%58.61%61.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.561.561.6567.11%64.19%64.10%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.27%3.96quota equa
EV +1.09%
Vantaggio +0.273%
Kelly +0.364%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.29%25.29%25.19%26.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.673.734.0029.41%27.28%26.85%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.48%EV +9.43%E +1.40%K +1.64%G +0.155%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.09%EV -6.38%E -3.98%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.43%EV +1.09%E +0.273%K +0.364%G +0.004%2.3%2026-04-08 00:29
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +5.37%E +0.827%K +0.977%G +0.053%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.13%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -1.43%E -0.368%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 00:29
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +5.37%E +0.827%K +0.977%G +0.053%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.13%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -1.43%E -0.368%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 00:29
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +5.37%E +0.827%K +0.977%G +0.053%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.13%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -1.43%E -0.368%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 00:29
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +5.37%E +0.827%K +0.977%G +0.053%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.13%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -1.43%E -0.368%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 00:29
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV +5.37%E +0.827%K +0.977%G +0.053%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.47%E -6.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 00:30
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +3.75%E +0.586%K +0.695%G +0.026%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.19%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +1.32%E +0.211%K +0.252%G +0.003%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.81%E -8.60%K -26.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 00:29
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +1.32%E +0.211%K +0.252%G +0.003%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.81%E -8.60%K -26.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 00:29
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +1.32%E +0.211%K +0.252%G +0.003%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -12.81%E -8.60%K -26.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 00:29
1xBet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%EV +0.511%E +0.082%K +0.098%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.46%EV -4.62%E -2.83%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.91%EV -1.69%E -0.434%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 00:29
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.73%E -0.455%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 00:29
Pinnacle5.94I 16.84%NM 15.92%EV -3.70%E -0.624%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -6.38%E -3.98%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.96%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 00:29
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -6.78%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.61%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 00:30
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.84%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.38%E -3.98%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.02%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 00:29
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.84%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 00:30
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.84%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 00:29
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.84%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 00:30
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.84%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 00:30
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.84%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 00:30
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -10.84%E -1.97%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -10.47%E -6.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-08 00:29
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -12.46%E -2.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -12.81%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 00:30
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.89%E -2.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 00:30
Unibet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -17.32%E -3.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.30%EV -11.06%E -7.27%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-08 00:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-04-08 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-04-08 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-08 00:30
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%4.4%2026-04-08 00:30
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-04-08 00:30