The School of Odds
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CA Boston River v O'Higgins

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 22:00 UTC

Final: CA Boston River 3–2 O'Higgins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CA Boston River (Local)

Prediction 23.70%4.22fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.441%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.46%23.88%23.66%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.953.954.3028.57%25.33%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 47.52%2.10fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.82%47.29%47.40%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.922.0254.95%52.16%51.95%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.78%3.47fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.83%28.93%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.273.6033.33%30.61%30.53%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Boston River (Local): 23.70%; O'Higgins (Visit): 47.52%; Draw: 28.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV +1.90%E +0.441%K +0.575%G +0.011%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.25%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV +3.62%E +1.01%K +1.39%G +0.051%2.6%2026-05-20 21:39
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -0.472%E -0.112%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -10.67%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -0.694%E -0.201%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 21:09
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -0.472%E -0.112%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -10.67%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -0.694%E -0.201%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 21:10
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -0.472%E -0.112%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -10.67%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -0.694%E -0.201%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -0.472%E -0.112%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -10.67%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -0.694%E -0.201%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 21:10
1xBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.66%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.81%EV -1.56%E -0.455%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -13.52%E -7.43%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -13.52%E -7.43%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 21:39
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -13.52%E -7.43%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.04%EV -13.52%E -7.43%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 21:40
Pinnacle🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.79%EV -1.18%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.71%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 21:50
Coolbet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -1.66%E -0.399%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 21:40
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 21:30
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 21:48
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -4.01%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 21:30
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -5.91%E -2.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 21:50
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 21:20
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 21:50
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 21:50
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.72%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 21:50
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-20 21:50
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-20 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -17.06%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -10.67%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-20 21:40
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-20 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-20 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-20 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-05-20 21:50
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-05-20 21:40