赔率学院

Bragantino-SP v River Plate

开赛时间： 2026-05-01 00:30 UTC

最终结果： Bragantino-SP 0–1 River Plate

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Bragantino-SP (主队)

预测 34.63%2.89公平赔率
EV -0.955%
优势 -0.334%
Kelly -0.513%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.86

博彩公司预测分布
33.22%34.66%34.63%35.69%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.452.662.632.8640.82%37.59%38.02%34.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

River Plate (客队)

预测 33.56%2.98公平赔率
EV -4.03%
优势 -1.41%
Kelly -2.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.86

博彩公司预测分布
32.59%33.46%33.56%35.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.602.732.752.8638.46%36.68%36.36%34.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.81%3.14公平赔率
EV +0.209%
优势 +0.066%
Kelly +0.097%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.39%31.88%31.81%32.59%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.802.942.953.1535.71%34.05%33.90%31.75%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -6.04%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.209%E +0.066%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 00:24
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -7.72%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.97%E -0.975%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:24
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -7.72%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.97%E -0.975%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:24
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -7.72%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.97%E -0.975%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:25
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -7.72%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.97%E -0.975%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:24
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.22%EV -0.955%E -0.334%K -0.513%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -9.73%E -3.62%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -3.93%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 00:20
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.04%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.72%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 00:19
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.08%E -4.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 00:05
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.30%EV -4.03%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -5.52%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 00:25
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.72%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 00:23
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.75%E -4.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 00:25
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.75%E -4.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.75%E -4.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 00:24
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.75%E -4.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 00:24
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.19%E -2.68%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.73%E -3.21%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.11%E -2.43%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 00:19
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -12.75%E -4.90%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-30 23:59
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -6.04%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.96%EV -8.70%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.69%EV -15.15%E -6.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -12.75%E -4.90%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.68%EV -9.33%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-01 00:19
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.04%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 00:25
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.04%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 00:24
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.04%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 00:24
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.04%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 00:24
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.72%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 00:10
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.40%E -3.48%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-30 23:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%1.1%2026-05-01 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%1.1%2026-05-01 00:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%1.1%2026-05-01 00:25
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-05-01 00:25
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77%1.5%2026-05-01 00:20