La scuola delle quote

Bragantino-SP v Carabobo FC

Inizio: 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Finale: Bragantino-SP 2–0 Carabobo FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Casa)

Previsione 69.77%1.43quota equa
EV -5.81%
Vantaggio -4.31%
Kelly -16.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.68%69.82%69.77%72.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.311.311.3579.37%76.34%76.34%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carabobo FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.14%9.86quota equa
EV +16.66%
Vantaggio +1.45%
Kelly +1.59%
Crescita +0.264%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.46%10.10%10.14%12.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.009.509.0411.5014.29%10.52%11.07%8.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.09%4.98quota equa
EV +1.24%
Vantaggio +0.246%
Kelly +0.306%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.81%20.08%20.09%20.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.694.705.0423.09%21.33%21.28%19.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.08%EV -5.81%E -4.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.46%EV +16.66%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.264%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +0.434%E +0.087%K +0.108%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-27 23:49
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 23:49
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 23:50
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 23:49
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 23:49
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 23:49
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 23:49
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 23:50
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-27 23:49
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.51%E -4.86%K -19.15%G +0.000%10.31I 9.70%NM 9.16%EV +4.59%E +0.445%K +0.493%G +0.023%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.36%EV -6.80%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 00:10
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%EV -6.51%E -4.86%K -19.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV +1.44%E +0.144%K +0.160%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -3.58%E -0.747%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 00:20
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.51%E -4.86%K -19.15%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.45%EV -7.99%E -0.881%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.81%EV +1.24%E +0.246%K +0.306%G +0.004%5.5%2026-05-28 00:20
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -8.70%E -0.967%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 00:20
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.70%E -0.967%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 23:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.00%E -7.75%K -34.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -8.70%E -0.967%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-27 23:59
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.89%EV -7.90%E -5.99%K -24.70%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -10.73%E -1.22%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 00:16
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -5.81%E -4.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:20
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 00:20
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 00:19
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.85%E -2.36%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -13.02%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-27 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.27%EV -19.86%E -2.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-28 00:20
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -5.81%E -4.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -28.99%E -4.14%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-28 00:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.98%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.64%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%0.8%2026-05-28 00:20