L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Bragantino-SP v Carabobo FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bragantino-SP (Local)
Prévision 69.77%1.43cote équitable
EV -5.81%
Avantage -4.31%
Kelly -16.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.68%69.82%69.77%72.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.311.311.3579.37%76.34%76.34%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Carabobo FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.14%9.86cote équitable
EV +16.66%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.264%
avec la cote maximale 11.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.46%10.10%10.14%12.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.509.0411.5014.29%10.52%11.07%8.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.09%4.98cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.246%
Kelly +0.306%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 5.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.81%20.08%20.09%20.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.694.705.0423.09%21.33%21.28%19.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.08%EV -5.81%E -4.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.46%EV +16.66%E +1.45%K +1.59%G +0.264% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +0.434%E +0.087%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.28%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +11.59%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.134% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-27 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.04%EV -12.09%E -9.60%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.620%K +0.686%G +0.045% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.51%E -4.86%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 10.31I 9.70%NM 9.16%EV +4.59%E +0.445%K +0.493%G +0.023% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.36%EV -6.80%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%EV -6.51%E -4.86%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV +1.44%E +0.144%K +0.160%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -3.58%E -0.747%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.51%E -4.86%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.45%EV -7.99%E -0.881%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.81%EV +1.24%E +0.246%K +0.306%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -8.70%E -0.967%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.70%E -0.967%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.00%E -7.75%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -8.70%E -0.967%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.89%EV -7.90%E -5.99%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -10.73%E -1.22%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.59%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.57%E -0.321%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 00:16 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -5.81%E -4.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.21%E -5.42%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.77%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.60%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.85%E -2.36%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -13.02%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.30%E -7.15%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.27%EV -19.86%E -2.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -5.81%E -4.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -28.99%E -4.14%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.99% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.98% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.64% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |