語言:繁體中文
Botafogo v Racing Club
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Botafogo (主隊)
預測 39.99%2.50公平賠率
EV -3.22%
優勢 -1.33%
Kelly -2.27%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.42
博彩公司預測分布
39.39%40.35%39.82%43.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.242.252.4247.62%44.70%44.44%41.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Racing Club (客隊)
預測 28.93%3.46公平賠率
EV +1.26%
優勢 +0.361%
Kelly +0.505%
成長率 +0.006%
假設最高賠率為 3.50
博彩公司預測分布
27.14%28.66%29.14%30.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.903.243.253.5034.48%30.85%30.77%28.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 31.08%3.22公平賠率
EV +5.66%
優勢 +1.66%
Kelly +2.36%
成長率 +0.133%
假設最高賠率為 3.40
博彩公司預測分布
28.50%30.99%31.05%32.65%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.803.083.103.4035.71%32.46%32.26%29.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Botafogo (主隊)：39.99%；Racing Club (客隊)：28.93%；和局：31.08%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於3.22的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.40，對應+5.66%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.39%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%EV +1.26%E +0.361%K +0.505%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%EV +5.66%E +1.66%K +2.36%G +0.133% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +1.26%E +0.361%K +0.505%G +0.006% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -11.22%E -5.05%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV +0.105%E +0.030%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.77%EV -0.867%E -0.272%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.86%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 00:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.10%E -5.55%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -14.02%E -6.52%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.20%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-07 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.39%EV -3.22%E -1.33%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.96%EV -1.34%E -0.393%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.65%EV -9.26%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -9.26%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -10.50%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 00:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |